Tags: ,,,,.

写在前面:本文中的有些技术已经存在了,有些还不存在,有些则正在被研究。这里,只想简单的列举我的几个猜想

第二屏幕

美国90%的电视观众在看电视的时候会同时看手机或者平板电脑,可是还很有电视节目去利用这“第二屏幕”。绝大多数人在手机或者平板电脑上看的内容与他们此时正在看的电视节目无关。未来,我们也许会看到很多电视人在制作节目的时候还会同时制作供在“第二屏幕”上看的内容。可能是电视节目导航类的工具,比如说简单到一个节目表,复杂一点的可以是对类似的节目的推荐或者是对这个电视台接下来几档节目的简介。也可能是社会类的工具,比如说所有关于这档电视节目的最新微博,或者让你与此时此刻也在看这档节目的好友进行实时聊天,再或者是根据你的社会关系向你推荐电视节目。

现在已经有不少app在提供类似的功能,节目导航类的有zeebox和i.TV等,我还不知道基于电视节目的社会类app,但有不少基于视频的社会类app,比如说Showyou,Vodio和Frequency等。

互联网将大规模的独家上映一些电视节目(而不是重播电视上已经有的节目)

我说的不是Hulu,Netflix那些传统的电视节目点播网站,而是仅仅通过网络播出的电视节目。电视的通过收视率抬高广告售价的盈利模式决定了电视台不会播放受众很小的电视节目。但这并不能说明这些节目不盈利,这是不能进入拥挤的电视市场而已。

Hulu上现在已经有了7档它们首播的节目,可以想象,未来,这个数字将越来越大。

遥控器

我不明白,为什么我们身边所有的设备都更新换代了这么多次,遥控器在过去50年却几乎没有变过。(下图是最早的一款遥控器之一。)

电视遥控开关的最大问题是,由于起初的电视没有屏幕上的菜单,很多功能就必须通过一两次按键完成。但随着电视机本身的功能越来越多,遥控开关上的按钮也越来越多。我刚才数了一下,我家的电视机有两个遥控开关,按键总数超过一百个。别说我妈妈不会用, 连我那低智商的女朋友都不会用。可是,随着现在电视机屏幕上的菜单功能越来越完善,为什么遥控开关不能像早期的iPod一样呢?简单的几个上下左右渐进后退键来控制电视屏幕上召唤出来的菜单。

现在遥控器功能的app已经很多,界面也简洁很多。如果用户还是习惯用传统的遥控器来控制电视,那么遥控器本身的外观必须改变。


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