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   传统互联网的大的格局已定。起了大早,赶了晚集或许是很多人的遗憾。同样移动互联网的布局已经悄然开始。3G在一片唏嘘中,义无反顾的前行,或许很多年以后,你或许找不到一部无法上网的手机。虽然3G技术本身的限制,移动互联网无法全面替代有线互联网,不过可预见的将来移动互联网用户的数量一定会超过有线宽带的用户。
  
   移动互联网或许给了传统互联网落伍者又一次翻牌的机会。在浏览器市场赶了晚集的Opera在移动互联网领域发力,Opera Mini跨平台的能力已无其右,市场份额也占据第一的位置。与其在传统互联网浏览器2.4%的市场份额形成了巨大的反差。但有些赶了传统互联网早集的却不幸成了落伍者。
  
   IE/FireFox

   IE或许是目前最不思进取的浏览器,在传统互联网领域对于HTML5的支持已经明显落后于Firefox和Chrome,但有富爸爸微软的支持,地位不容挑战。在移动浏览器中,虽然作为Windows mobile/Windows CE唯一预置的浏览器,或许富二代这个名字用来形容IE的移动版最恰当不过了。糟糕的用户体验,已经将市场份额拱手让给了Opera Mini。同时一如微软其他软件,不存在非微软操作系统的其他版本。虽然继续扛着Netscape抵抗IE的大旗,FireFox占据着传统互联网第二大浏览器市场份额,但也仅17.1%,被Google的Chrome浏览器超过也只是时间问题。在移动领域FireFox的表现还要糟糕,代号为Fennec的FireFox移动版本已经出现有些日子,但一直未有稳定版释出。刚刚发布支持Nokia Maemo系统的版本,也很大程度得益于Maemo是基于Linux Debian的分支。在移动互联网浏览器领域崛起的新星,Opera Mini、Safari、Chrome Lite或许影响的不仅仅是移动互联网,在移动互联网得到的认可势必会促进其在传统互联网发展市场份额的增加。

   Adobe

   收购了Macromedia的Adobe公司,在多媒体制作领域已无对手。Flash在传统互联网领域已经成了富媒体的代名词。但在移动领域,Flash却遭遇了前所未有的困局。一来Flash是Adobe一家的产品,别人想帮忙都难;二来手机操作系统如此众多,不断冒出的新的系统让Adobe心有余而力不足;三者支持Flash相比HTML渲染也要复杂很多。相信HTML5在传统互联网领域挑战Flash的地位有相当的难度,但作为行业的标准,在移动浏览器获得支持也是早晚的事情,以WebKit作为内核的浏览器Safari、Chrome Lite已经完成了HTML5支持的开发,只欠基于HTML5开发的富媒体。

   Nokia

   或许现在说Nokia在移动互联网不努力有失公允。收购Symbian加入开放手机平台竞争;收购Trolltech,使用QT作为多个平台UI的基础;推出基于Maemo 5的Nokia N900手机。但作为牢牢掌握手机终端市场份额第一的Nokia的造壳工业已经持续了相当的年头。设计漂亮的外壳在过去给Nokia带来了巨额利润,而Symbian的系统改进却龟速前行。iPhone,Android,RIM带来的对Nokia的冲击或许是Nokia在还过去欠下的债。在中低端手机市场,Nokia的市场份额也在被山寨机蚕食。


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