手机操作系统的竞争或许是未来移动互联网的制高点之争。苹果利用iPhone在移动互联网领域实现了完美的开局;Google的Android利用免费开源,借力于手机终端厂商:HTC、Moto、三星等也取得了不错的市场份额。移动互联网的老兵微软、诺基亚也试图分别借WP7,MeeGo弥补最近几年在移动互联网的失误;联想的乐Phone也在强化手机的用户体验,试图在中国复制iPhone的模式。

    不过手机操作系统的竞争正在从操作系统本身转变为App之争。iPhone良好的触屏操作体验无法成为苹果的专利,Android、WP7、Palm Web OS正在弥补着与iPhone操作体验的差距;多点触摸、手势系统正在成为智能手机操作系统的标配。仅仅操作系统本身无法甩开与对手的差距。手机作为随着携带的电子设备,通话、短信仅仅是手机功能的一小部分,手机需要借助第三方的App使其成为随身携带的电子瑞士军刀。如何让开发者乐意为其系统开发应用成为了手机操作系统未来竞争的重点。

    号召力或许是苹果与Google共同拥有的资本,以致在iPhone、Android手机还未达到足够用户规模的时候,开发者已经为未来美好App的盈利能力提前买单。此后随着用户规模的逐渐增大,AppStore的模式造就了不少一夜暴富的传奇,不过随着AppStore上的软件数量突破十万,这样的传奇发生几率越来越趋于零。为了能够安装盗版的软件越狱成了很多人拥有iPhone后必做的功课,而Google一直没有很好解决Android系统上应用软件被非法盗用的问题。如何让开发者获利,或许是未来手机操作系统生存的根本。
   
    开发者可以通过出售软件获利,或者依赖于传统互联网的模式:广告。AdMob使得应用开发者通过广告的模式获取收益成为可能。或许苹果与Google天生对于手机操作系统未来发展的洞察力,收购AdMob成了两家公司不约而同的决定。7.5亿美金:Google收购AdMob的价格或许出乎多数人的意料之外。不过花7.5亿买一个手机操作系统的未来或许是个不错的买卖。占据了iPhone嵌入式广告80%份额被Google拥有的AdMob对于苹果来说无疑是一匹特洛伊木马,收购Quattro Wireless,发布广告服务iAd或许是苹果自然而然的应对。

    微软即将上市的Windows Phone 7是微软能否在移动互联网复制其在PC互联网领域的强势地位的关键。采用Silverlight和C#作为开发工具或许是WP7讨好开发者最好的举动,类似Flash的Silverlight可以带来不错的用户体验,微软.NET战略使得其在传统互联网积累了大量的C#的程序员。在移动互联网领域微软的号召力或许仅次于苹果与Googe。或许号召力只是基础,如何让开发者盈利是关键。在在刚刚结束的第57届戛纳国际广告节上,微软带来了名为Microsoft Advertising的手机广告平台。

    未来Google的AdMob,苹果的iAd,微软的Microsoft Advertising或许是其各自手机操作系统竞争底牌之一。或许这一次诺基亚又落后了。


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