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导言:今晨百度收购91无线,这次并购可能更多的是91股东的干预和百度对于无线端的焦虑。

iDoNews 业内人说 第176期 7月16日 亮点:(微信号 iLoveDoNews)

今晨网龙在港交易所发布公告,称百度将出资19亿美元收购91无线已发行的全部股本,其中将于2013 年 8 月 14 日前,签署收购由网龙持有的 91 无线 57.41% 的股权。鉴于百度有意收购 91 无线剩余的 42.59% 股权,在最后截止日期前,如果其他股东愿意出售其持有的股份,百度将按与网龙签署的相同条款进行收购。

这一则新闻非常有趣,因为它说,“在最后截止日期前,如果其他股东愿意出售其持有的股份,百度将按与网龙签署的相同条款进行收购。”可是为什么百度要加这么一个条款?难道只收购51%不可以吗?这是一个疑问。

事实早在2012年开始,91无线就开始宣传赴港上市之事,或许由于91无线有靠刷机越狱赚钱的污点,所以上市的说法,迟迟不能兑现。这让股东上市套现的想法落空,尽管91无线在通过自身的努力去洗白,但在如狼似虎的360、腾讯、百度的追赶之下,91无线所凭借的的先发优势可能拖不了那么长的时间。因此寻求并购,卖个好价钱,成为91股东最优的选择。所以当看到这则新闻的时候,iDoNews 小牛就猜想,这应该更多是股东利益推动,而非公司利益推动的事宜。

这主要依据网龙在今年Q1季度的报表。其中无线业务收益为人民币1.447亿元,环比增长42.0%,同比增长218.8%。可以说正是一个上升的趋势。而同时网游业务收益为人民币2.12亿元,环比减少7.5%,同比增长10.7%,这点则略显颓势。因此对于网龙而言,面对不断疲软的页游项目,目前最大的优势就在于91无线的渠道。它可以将自己研发的手游与91无线的渠道进行内部联动,来取得最大的收益,可是将91无线卖出之后呢?则丧失了主导权。因此对于网龙的发展是没有什么好处的,但从收益方面确实是大赚一笔。

百度就更有意思了。百度前些天一直在360和搜狗之间充当搅屎棍的角色,尽管该事件目前还没有落地。但从此次收购来看,百度已经等不及了。百度对360的战斗是在去年的Q3正式拉开,很短的时间里,360就利用渠道的优势在web端搜索市场里站住了脚。对此百度可是恨的牙根痒痒。所以此次百度在移动端的渠道对360的反击,也有些报复意思。可以预料到的是,360在手机助手这一细分领域的收益将会有一定程度的降低。只不过影响可能没有360在web端对百度的影响大,毕竟web端的搜索市场已经相对成熟,所以360抢来的是实打实的利益,而百度抢来的只是一种可能。

当然百度的用意可能并不是只限于跟360斗气。业内人陈粲然说,“百度希望借助自己的云服务去搭建一套应用创建和分发体系,但相较于腾讯,这个移动互联网上盈利状况最好的群体却恰恰是百度最欠缺的。91不仅聚集了众多的游戏开发者,还拥有游戏接入、Push、跨平台、社交化、货币化、数据统计等对开发者的支持服务。能够帮助百度很好地填补这块的空缺。要知道,91无线此前和金山云合作,也希望打造一个云服务平台,和百度的思路有很多相似之处。”可见这种资源和经历才是百度所更希望获得的。

同时不能忽略的是,由于移动客户端的分流,导致浏览器在移动端的地位不断的下滑。这对于百度在移动搜索上的打击是更为巨大的,那么控制了客户端的入口,相信能够对此问题的解决有一定的帮助,至少能够增加一些讨价还价的筹码。同时,百度在移动端并没有一个特别强势的产品,通过此次收购,使得自己在移动端有了一个可以立足的桥头堡,这对于后续的产品都大有裨益。

总的来说,无论是91无线股东的利益,还是百度自身发展的需要,百度收购91无线都是一个合理的选择。当然这本不用说,毕竟19亿的备忘录和今日百度股价最多上涨5.3%已经说明了一 切。


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