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导言:从苹果换帅的传言,到刚刚发布的财报,很多人质疑库克,担忧苹果,但苹果的优势依旧存在,库克或将带着新产品给苹果带来新的转机。

iDoNews 业内人说 115期 4月25日观点(官方微信号:iLoveDonews):

背景回顾:这边库克被下课的传言还在传得沸沸扬扬,4月24日凌晨苹果发布了第二财季财报,营收上涨,净利润下滑,很多人等着看库克如何应对,但也许结局并不如传言人所想。

库克下课传言,难成事实

换掉库克的传言主要是指责库克治下的苹果股价下跌,从2012年9月的每股702美元下跌到2013年4月的390美元,创下52周以来新低。将股价下跌全部归咎于库克身上未免有些偏颇,同时只知道一味指责,却没有提到这个股价最高点是库克造就的,而库克接任苹果时的股价甚至比现在最低点还要低,如果只是因为股价下跌就要换掉库克,显然传言并不能站住脚。

当年的史蒂夫·鲍尔默在接替比尔·盖茨之后,微软的股价也曾一度下降,当时几乎所有人都要求解雇鲍尔默,而现在的微软在他的领导下,过去13年,年度营收增长了 221%,利润上升了80%,很好打击了外界的质疑。库克领导苹果的时期,苹果年收入增长了45%,利润也上涨了61%,可是营收和利润的上涨不能得到投资人的青睐,这并不完全是库克的罪责。

库克接任苹果CEO以来,对苹果也做出了不小的贡献。他提拔了对消费类电子产品具有独到眼光和鉴赏力的艾维,除了产品,他还注重公司的对外,尽力为苹果树立良好的形象,并且在财报会上他宣布了大幅提升资本收益,苹果的实际表现都超出了预期,所以财报会后也推动了苹果股价的上涨。

从IDC的数据得出智能手机市场规模在下滑,而苹果下滑情况好于市场平均水平,整个行业出现放缓,财报中苹果整体营收上涨,只是净利润下降,倒也无可厚非。

艾媒CEO张毅认为:“并不是库克做得不好,而是苹果已经告别过去靠单一产品支撑的时代,现在这家科技公司更需要慢下来用一整套完善的体制去运行。”乔布斯是时代的记号,很难超越,但客观来看,至少目前库克仍是苹果CEO的最佳人选。

竞争激烈,苹果优势依旧

智能手机的市场竞争从来就很激烈,谷歌阵营对苹果进行围剿,而谷歌和三星更是极具威胁。但谷歌阵营在盈利上却与苹果相距甚远,2013年苹果占全球应用商店收入的74%,而谷歌却只有可怜的18%,虽然谷歌阵营占据了大部分的市场份额,却很难供给庞大的生态链。

库克也对自己的产品很有信心,他认为苹果拥有最佳的智能手机生态系统,这的确不可否认,只要苹果接下来在新产品方面将自身优势扩大,不断完善,相信竞争也只会是苹果的助动力。

同时,随着移动互联网的发展,安全需求已然成为人们非常关心的,而在这方面,苹果的IOS显然比Android更具备技术和管理上的优势,这会大大提高用户的忠诚度。

硅谷著名投资人马克·安德森认为:“库克比乔布斯更注重市场份额,而且试图积极与谷歌和三星等竞争对手展开直接较量,从而尽可能多地吸引和留住用户。”财报中iPad的表现非常抢眼,这很大部分得益于iPad Mini,iPad Mini已经成为市场上最流行的平板电脑,充分捍卫了苹果在平板电脑市场的份额。

现在大屏手机流行,而库克认为大屏手机的质量、分辨率、色彩、功耗等方面会受到折衷,iPhone 5 的屏幕是目前业界最好的,如果苹果技术成熟推大屏手机,再如果传说中的低价iPhone推出,苹果必然会扩大用户规模,抢占市场份额,那么Android等竞争对手或许更难有出路。

中国市场是块难咬肥肉

从这次的财报中可以看出,作为苹果第二大市场的中国市场成绩突出,库克也早就懂得中国市场的重要性,他说:“未来,我们认为中国市场将大有机会,目前我们在中国有11个直营零售店,预计两年内数量将翻番,目前的数量明显太少了。”

不同于从未来过中国的乔布斯,库克不仅几次访华积极释放合作的信号,也在被指责歧视中国消费者之后发布了致歉信,随后更是在雅安地震后捐款5000万元救灾,可是这些举措换来的结果却并不如意。不来访,是傲慢,来访,却被质疑;不道歉,是歧视,道歉,却是没诚意;不捐款,被指责,捐款,却被称造噱头。库克可能也很无奈,或许像乔布斯一样高高在上才是正解?

乔布斯时期的苹果更像是在天上,高处不胜寒,库克想将苹果带来人间,接地气,而中国市场或许对库克太苛求,至少库克想要加强与中国市场联系的行为是正面的。

新产品,新开始

苹果股价下跌的时候,库克说过:“我们所有人都对过去几个月苹果股价的下跌感到沮丧,但苹果依旧强大,苹果最重要的任务永远是开发最具创新力的产品。”创新遇到瓶颈是人们一直担忧苹果的原因,库克也懂得只有创新性的产品才是对质疑者最好的回击。

在回答分析师问题时库克也说将继续投资以提供更具创新性的产品,他表示:“我们的团队正在努力研发一些非常酷的硬件、软件和服务,我们已经迫不及待地想从今年秋季到明年来发布这些产品。对于我们未来的产品规划,我们依旧充满信心。我们也将为消费者带来更多的惊喜。”

通信业微博联盟成员陈志刚认为:“过去的几年,有关苹果的利空已经释放完毕,新的需求环境将会给苹果封闭的技术体制带来新的机遇,拥有1300多亿现金流的苹果依然占据产业链的高端无人企及,苹果将开始进入新的上升通道。”新产品,或许是苹果全新的开始。

面对外界的质疑,竞争对手的压力,库克充满信心,已然准备好迎接挑战。


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