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导言:虽然正主一直未公开亮相,但百度终于算是揭开了PPS的面纱,迎娶美娇娘。想要左拥右抱,一手掌握,恐怕这回百度的如意算盘难打响。

iDoNews 业内人说 116期 4月26日观点(官方微信号:iLoveDonews):

背景回顾:尽管百度收购PPS的消息当事人尚未正式宣布,但收购事宜基本已经水到渠成了,收购完成后,爱奇艺将负责进行整合。

PPS寻出路,百度上钩

一个月前爱奇艺通过百度收购PPS的消息就已经传出,当时PPS联合创始人张洪禹第一时间出来否认消息不实,但这个表态在外界看来更多的不过是释放烟雾。PPS无非是想借媒体的炒作来推波助澜,在出嫁前为自己争取更丰厚的嫁妆。

PPS之前曾获得数轮一共数千万美元的投资,现在,PPS若想要继续扩大在市场的份额则必须要持续“烧钱”,同时PPS想要独立上市也很难,理所当然把自己出售当然是最好的选择,而PPS自然要找个大靠山,于是乎引起百度的兴趣,使之成为自己的目标。

现在的视频行业,优酷土豆是领头羊,处于第一阵营。而PPS等视频行业的第二阵营现在的情况是自我运营能力匮乏,并且又没有新资金注入,那么出售就成为最好,或许也是唯一的出路。在谈及百度收购PPS时,风行网副总裁佘清舟曾表示:“现在第二阵营的独立运营的视频网站都在积极的寻找出路,因为上市无望,运营又存在困难。”

PPS看明行业的形势,认清自身的情况,很聪明地向百度撒了个娇,吸引了百度,而百度也似乎看出了PPS的一些自己需要的优势,只是这个优势是不是真的适合百度,是不是真的能够发挥效应,恐怕百度并没有很好地想清楚。

整合难度大,互补不可行

当百度收购PPS事成后,爱奇艺将负责进行整合,爱奇艺与PPS将采取双品牌运营模式。一位视频行业CEO对爱奇艺和PPS的整合并不看好,他认为:“客户端和网页是两种不同模式,看起来互补,彼此却拥有不一样的DNA。在整合初期,PPS高管团队和骨干员工的离职或许也是不可避免的阵痛。”百度想要快速将两者融合,所谓心急吃不了热豆腐,整合难度大,二者也未必能形成互补。

百度看上PPS的原因很大一部分是看中它的客户端,想弥补爱奇艺的短板,但PPS客户端的产品体验并不好,爱奇艺和PPS的APP客户端方面重合度也高,怎样有效整合分配是个问题。同时广告收入是视频行业的一个重要收入,而这点PPS却并无优势,合并之后,两者必须转变业务模式,否则发展空间会变狭隘。

另外,PPS的盗版问题一直是个硬伤,也是行业诟病,尽管PPS之前一直称其已经盈利,版权基本没有投入恐怕是其主要原因之一。中国广播电视协会导演工作委员会副会长郑晓龙就曾对PPS的盗版问题很是愤恨,他说:“视频网站PPS是大盗版网站,PPS上存在大量盗版资源。PPS盗版问题严重,很丢中国人的脸,希望借助媒体让该公司注意。”百度收购PPS之后,版权问题必然需要大整改,而这也将对视频内容造成大的损失。

资深 iDoNews 作者醒客认为:“爱奇艺和PPS都处于视频行业第二阵营,合并后在用户拓展方面效果并不明显,更何况整合后还要面临业务模式转换的风险。”

目前大部分视频网站都尚未实现盈利,所以视频行业之间的并购整合似乎成为大势所趋,但优酷和土豆合并之后的效果一直不明显,也一直被外界质疑,前车之鉴,百度想通过爱奇艺和PPS整合,快速融合,抢占视频行业的第二把交椅,恐怕前景令人担忧,没有那么容易。

百度移动互联网野心难成

百度收购PPS的意图很明显是想在移动互联网方面动脑筋,优酷土豆合并已经牢牢掌控住浏览器入口,这无疑是百度心中的一根刺,百度自然不甘心放弃,爱奇艺在移动客户端的表现不理想,于是百度想通过收购PPS来增强这方面力量,但结果并不会乐观,优酷收了土豆之后虽然市场份额占头,但盈利一直看不到希望,爱奇艺这边仍然在亏损,自身问题还未解决,收了PPS,或许并不会有效果。

百度在移动互联网领域一直未有所作为,也错失了发展的最佳时机,2012年360和搜狗的崛起让百度危机四伏。百度想要当老大,可是依靠现有的发展态势,单凭收购一个无望上市的客户端产品去实施扩张,并不能挽回其发展的颓势。

当年傲视国内互联网的霸主百度,现在的市值也不如腾讯,并且腾讯还拥有微信这样的精致产品,百度也急了,于是想靠收购来争取移动互联网的赢面,耀点100、乐酷天、去哪儿网、百伯等等数家网站被百度投资收购,可是却并不能帮助百度实现移动互联网霸主的野心,而这次对PPS的收购更多的只是跟风,缺乏创新,急切地想要通吃,在没有清晰布局自身战略的情况下,劝百度还是别心急,思考好自身定位。

互联网分析师迮钧权认为:“百度对PPS的收购改变不了视频行业第一阵营的格局,这些现金不如给自己旗下的视频公司来花价值更大,除非百度很在意时间,要在短期内迅速扩大视频业务的规模。这次收购逻辑,实在很难在台面上拿出足够合理的说法。”

作为中国最有技术开发实力的互联网巨头,百度几年来的表现确实让人失望,李彦宏呼吁的“狼性”在哪,移动互联网无为,百度曾经在PC互联网的霸主地位恐怕岌岌可危。

百度和PPS这段绯闻算是尘埃落定,但这段姻缘会不会帮助百度在移动互联网方面打出一番天下,恐怕只是又一场新人变旧人的闹戏。


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