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Facebook Graph Search (FGS) 是扎克伯格称为“第一个巨大的产品发布”,所以它的重要性不容忽视。他也说这不是web search,所以不是和谷歌竞争。我们应该相信扎克伯格的第一句话,但是不可完全相信他的第二句话。

FGS是什么?它的功能是让用户能搜索到社交链上的信息,例如“我朋友都喜欢那些纽约的餐馆?”,“我去年和某某人的合照”、“我朋友去过的国家公园”等。如果拆分技术模块,应该有三块:1)自然语言理解(就是吧用户输入转换成一个数据库要求),2)爬取和挖掘用户的信息(包括主动和非主动输入的,例如社交链、点击习惯,like等),3)把海量的用户信息转换成为巨大的数据库。

短期的目标,就是把现在很不好用,但是Facebook每页都有的搜索,变成一个真正的社交搜索。现在用户只能搜搜名字一类的,很快就可以开始搜索上述的内容等。但是,这仅仅是小小的第一步。再往后,Facebook会利用这个功能激活它最有价值的几个优势:1)社交链,2)互联网上不让谷歌爬取的内容,3)Like按钮提供的关键信息,4)上述三者中用数据挖掘出来的巨大价值。

所以,长期看来,FGS完全可以和谷歌搜索相比,只是它是基于社交领域的。谷歌搜索的是信息文字,FGS搜索的是朋友的信息和选择。谷歌用页面之间的超链接、anchor text来决定相关度和权重,FGS用人与人之间的社交链接、like等来决定相关度和权重。谷歌刚推出时只有文字,然后加上图片、视频、新闻。。。FGS推出时只有照片、餐馆,然后以后会加上各种其他的信息。谷歌会用用户点击行为来优化搜索,FGS会用like来更直接优化搜索。

不要低估FGS只是在挖掘你的朋友的信息,它也会理解分析挖掘所有的用户的选择,其中会有你新认识的朋友,会有某领域的专家达人,当然也会有所有人的选项、需求、点评(就像在豆瓣、微博上,你信任的人会从你的朋友扩散出去)。

最终,FGS就可能成为一个加上社交链、人性化标签的巨大搜索。它的搜索范围可以涵盖谷歌做的很好的,比较冰冷的互联网内容(例如:新闻、文字、地图),也可以涵盖那些谷歌一直没做好的,没有人性社交做不好的内容(例如:购物、餐饮、社交、求职、知识问答)。

你还抱着怀疑态度吗?那不妨看看FGS上线后,Yelp(就是美国的“大众点评“)跌了7%。这也代表了华尔街经过分析,认为Yelp可能会成为第一个FGS的受害者。另外,linkedin等其他公司也被认为未来有挑战。

你依然不认为社交搜索有用吗?想想你周围有多少人说过:”我如果要找XXX方面的信息,我会到新浪微博搜,而不是百度搜?” 这点就证明了在某些领域,一个尚未利用社交链的纯文字搜索,已经可以比传统搜索有价值了。而FGS的野心和技术,可远远超越了新浪微博搜索。

FGS的商业价值何在?张鹏说:“这产品如用户价值被真正证实,无论是否迅速形成商业循环,都会对原有的互联网与现实世界的连接方式带来变化,这是技术和模式的双重颠覆。” 这点我非常赞同。我们都知道:用户最信任的是朋友的推荐,所以Facebook会全力挖掘这方面的价值(在不伤害用户体验的前提下),让用户能够得知线下朋友、线上达人、所有用户真正喜爱什么,从而连接线上与线下。

FGS能赚钱吗?一方面,我们应该很乐观,因为搜索是最有针对性的,可以用搜索词来激活相关度高而且广告主愿意竞价的广告的,何况Facebook还拥有更多有关你的信息。但是,另一方面,太急功近利会伤害用户体验,在这个阶段Facebook不会去插入一个相关但是非用户朋友推荐的内容。所以,我猜测Facebook会用这个机会,让更多商家做好它们的Facebook page,然后在用户相关的情况下,低调地推广一下。比如说,如果用户问:“我朋友最喜欢的北京餐馆是什么?” 然后发现朋友喜欢的有大董、全聚德,这时如果大董是一个付费商家,可以把它的链接打扮得更漂亮,或者告知用户有什么新菜、折扣等。所以,对于货币化的前景,应该是非常乐观,但是也非常长远。

这一切都会很快发生吗?Facebook能很快超越谷歌搜索吗?当然不会。扎克伯格很清晰地说这是一个长远的计划,今天只看到冰山一角。另外,谷歌也不是傻傻地站着等着被赶超。谷歌早就把Google+融入谷歌产品线了。当然,FGS也宣布它融入了Bing。

所以,我们应该这么理解社交搜索,它不仅仅是一个垂直搜索,它将和网页搜索和为一体,有社交成分特色的搜索是下一个重要的里程碑。两个伟大公司进入彼此的领域,鹿死谁手还很难预料。

作者:李开复

来源:知乎


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