2008年5月,我刚从国外出差归来,立即上了去四川的飞机。那次我负责川震南线(映秀—汶川—茂县)的采访。我本行是商业报道,但没想到那次巨灾之后,竟成了灾难记者。

一年之后,灾区回访,把北线(绵竹—北川—安县)所有重灾区走了一遍。2010年,又逢玉树地震,再次带队去了青海。2011年,四川灾区完成重建,三赴灾区,那次去了遥远的青川。同年,日本大地震,调派记者去东京,并在后方组织和协调专题报道。

是的,几乎每年都在做地震报道。我的意思是,灾难其实离我们很近。就在上周六,我刚刚到成都,做川震五周年的回访,并在映秀住了一天。没想到刚离开,又是七级强震撼动四川。

这一次,又是举国沸腾,但一些认知误区仍然存在。我想就这五年来的观察,做一些简单的总结,希望对关心灾区的朋友有些帮助和启发。

一、震中是否就是受灾最严重的地方?不一定。

在2008年的灾难中,当地震局监测到震中在映秀时,所有注意力都被吸引到那里。加上映秀道路中断,天气恶劣,直升机又无法抵达,这放大了外界的焦虑。又因为映秀离成都非常近,许多民间救援资源就都发往映秀。但另一方面,人们没有意识到北川其实更惨烈,整个老县城被埋。其实当时北川的交通条件比映秀好许多,如果有更多资源投放到北川,或许能救出更多人。

你能看到的重灾区,都只是媒体和官员最容易抵达的地方。你视线之外的地方,有可能更严重。

二、救灾越快越好?也未必。

速度和效率是两码事。比如说,你在第一时间把大量部队集结到映秀,结果人员伤亡最惨是在北川,那整体救援效率未必就高。我们要的是救援效率,这就要求指挥者必须很专业,而不是很热血。科学决策更重要。

512那次因为气候太恶劣,直升机无法获取完整信息图,这次就很好,无人机很快拿回了全景图,这就对指挥者调配救灾资源起到很大的作用。完整透明的信息是科学决策的基础。

三、救人应该靠政府,老百姓不要添乱?这话要一分为二的看。

08年我基本是和先头部队同时抵达映秀。部队已经尽了最大的努力,但等他们走整整一夜,抵达震中时,能做的事情实在是有限。而且山区道路不畅,意味着大型机械无法进入救人,徒手挖人的效率是很低的。我亲眼看到两位士兵花了很长时间去搬卡住的楼板,却只能无奈的放弃。

最有效的救援恰恰是灾民自救。无论是时间还是地理位置,都比外来的部队有优势。这时候,防灾教育就特别重要,平时的演习和组织,在灾难真正来临时,是能救命的。不知道08年之后,四川各地的防灾教育做的如何?

四、志愿者最好不要去灾区?这个要看是什么志愿者了。

如果你连山区都没去过,必要的冲锋衣、睡袋什么都没有,我也觉得没必要去。但如果你在某些方面有一技之长,灾区可能很需要。比如说,我当时是和广东的医疗队同时进的映秀,医疗人员体力未必有多好,但灾区很需要啊。

另外,一起同行有四川户外俱乐部的朋友,他们背70升的包,全部是药品,送到之后部队非常感激,当时最基本的消炎药都缺啊。这些志愿者也没有停留,送到就离开,给我印象很深。

其实民间资源总归是越多越好,问题不是志愿者要不要去,而是如何组织起来,让救援更有效率。这方面政府应该统筹。

五、红十字会不放心,我该给谁捐款?我觉得普通个人前三天不需要考虑捐款的事儿。

玉树地震那次有朋友给我电话,让我在灾区给灾民几千块钱,回来她给报销。我说现在有钱也没地方用啊。其实但凡这种巨灾,对人类文明是瞬间毁灭性的打击,一下打回原始社会。停电停水停电话,钱没用。最紧缺的反而是物资,可以组织急缺物资尽快发过去。一般来说,前三天,最需要帐篷(防余震只能住户外)、药品(伤员太多)、电源(没法住楼里或者干脆电厂损毁)、食品和水。

六、我们要给受灾最严重的地方捐款?不一定,因为受灾最严重的地方,资金太多,其他地方可能更缺钱。

提到512地震,通常第一时间想起的是映秀、北川,或者还有汉旺。但以我之后回访的经验来看,这三个地方重建资金绰绰有余,因为他们知名度太高。一些不出名,尤其是比较偏远的地方,其实更缺钱。

这方面最典型的例子是青川,这个地方离成都太远,坐车要大半天,山路长又弯,但惨烈一点不弱于映秀,有整个村子被全部埋掉的。问题在于,由于交通闭塞,记者、官员都很少去,曝光不足,捐款企业没法获得曝光的机会,官员也捞不到政绩,那自然不重视。这种地方往往经济基础偏弱,反而更应该救助。

恐怕政府、媒体都无法很好的解决这个问题,只有专业的NGO才可以。当然企业也可以做的更专业,而不是更热血。这次雅安地震,我就一直很关心那些尚未被报道的灾区。

七、地震局没有尽责,有人预测了地震,政府不重视?这个是误解。

我很小时就在科普书上看到说地震是无法精准预测的,现在依然如此。现代的科学只能让大家知道,自己是否在地震带上,知道这一点,就已经足够保命了。

所以应把主要精力放在防震减灾上。只要地震时房屋主结构不垮,就有足够时间跑路,小命就能保住。政府的重心应是组织演习、核查建筑质量、加强科普教育,但这些不容易出政绩。

作者:左志坚

推荐微信公号:拇指阅读(muzhiyuedu),微书摘+微八卦。原《21世纪经济报道》新闻总监左志坚在经营。


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