今天的世界,科技发明变得越来越死气沉沉,不系统且充满铜臭味。唯一的例外恐怕是 Elon Musk,不断用他的电动车和蚱蜢火箭挑战主流,哦对,还有超级高铁项目。

但我还是忍不住想再吐槽下主流科技界的无聊,尤其当人们作为消费者不断被市场那套逻辑喂食时。手机就是这套逻辑的完美案例,我们每年都被新机型吸引,但所谓新机型也不过只有微小改进而已,用的还是N年前就有的技术,只不过消费者一直没获准使用到。

苹果就是这样一家公司。它曾因给我们这个时代带来技术革命而闻名,人们仰仗它不断带来新东西。然而,过去几年间,它擅长制造崇拜的产品线已出现江郎才尽的征兆了,其估值近年来一直缩水就是证明。苹果股价于2012年9月到达700美刀峰值后,现在已下滑到500。为何一家有如此多资源的公司,在股市上表现还不如持续飙升的谷歌和亚马逊?

9月10日将迎来苹果一年一度的新品发布会。哥要说的当然不是爱疯5S,无聊!爱疯5C,无聊!至于爱疯 Gold/Champagne 版,亲,没搞错吧?你以为换换颜色就是新品了?!

我要说的是苹果电视?? 传说中有各种软件护体的 iTV,而且,它的真名是 iWatch!

没错,它已经直视我们N久了,但有意无意间,这名字也魅惑了我们很久……

iTV 是乔布斯时代起即存在的野心,花了这么久才即将问世,可见其中有巨大难题。在乔布斯传记中曾记录他说:“我希望创造一个用起来十分简易的电视”。库克也曾公开发表过对 iTV 寄予厚望。我做了不少功课,能证实这款产品的确不会只存在于乔布斯的想象中。而且有充分的理由能说明,iWatch 会变为现实。来看看与此相关的事实和讨论吧。

它为何不是个手表?哥想要的是个手表!

手表对苹果这样的公司而言有意义吗?这么说可能有风险,但你不觉得作为一款产品,它会失败吗?

仔细想想,智能手表几乎没有存在的意义。第一,这个概念存在几十年了但每次实践都失败;第二,这种产品性价比不高,对大众市场没有吸引力。试想,你的妈妈会用 iPhone 打电话,用 iPad 看电影,但她会戴一块看起来十分极客的智能手表吗?时尚领域不是人人都能被轻易讨好的。苹果从不做老掉牙的产品,不然会毁掉自己的一世英名。如果我是苹果,我才不会把大把资源投到智能手表上。比起有着390亿美金的电视市场,手表恐怕连其1%的营收都做不到。

电视显然是个大众市场,也是欲望的象征。许多家庭拥有不止一台电视,对商家而言这简直是座金矿。而且,这个生意的关键利润并非卖电视,而是据此能内置的特定内容和平台。看看 Netflix 的订阅服务有多成功就知道了。iTV 势必内置 iTunes 和传说中的 iRadio,再加上全新包装的 App Store,肯定会吸引你订上一堆自己压根看不过来的频道。越说想象的空间越大,尤其在你发现,上述一切你都能用你的 iPhone 轻易控制的情况下。

所以,为何会有 iWatch 呢?

我们来想象一下如果你是苹果,要拿出这样一个有着超长产业链、靠内容盈利的新产品,你会叫它神马?iTV?哦不,太俗了!Apple TV ?已经用过了!iFilm、iMovies 这种名儿又不够高端大气上档次……等等!iWatch 怎么样?Watch 这个词儿,你只想到手表就上当啦!

iWatch 真适合苹果的电视产品。基于其能提供的内容来命名,让你有充分自由看想看的一切内容。而且,这个名称在全球范围内又被广泛和腕表联系在一起。用它命名电视真是个绝佳的营销策略啊!肯定 high 翻全世界!这个策略如此成功的转移了大家的注意力,以至于我都有点怀疑自己这个猜测是不是太疯狂。如若果真如此,那乔布斯会为自己的市场团队自豪的,他们将重现乔布斯在世时震惊世界的那一刻。

“我终于破解了其中奥妙,”乔布斯说。那么,奥妙是什么呢?

在生命的最后几天,乔布斯曾说了些关于苹果电视这款产品的想法,“我终于破解了其中奥妙”。许多论断,甚至惠及了苹果直到2016年的诸多产品。

我的第一直觉是,遥控器要被淘汰了??我要么拿错遥控器,要么把它们不小心掉到沙发底下。大家都在电视上下功夫,却没人改进一下麻烦的遥控器。“我们没理由要一直用这么复杂的东西,”乔布斯也这么说过。谁能先想到替代方案,一定会被举世膜拜,并迅速从中赚得大把钞票。

这个猜测并非毫无依据。苹果不久前还在和 Primesense 讨论2.8亿美金收购的话题。这正是那家给 Xbox Kinect 提供传感技术的公司。如果用到电视上,或许你真的可以扔掉遥控器了。而将于11月8日发布的新一代 Xbox One Kinect 2.0 所采用的技术,可能也会出现在苹果的电视上。据悉,新版 Xbox 能读出你的心跳。如果这些不足以证明我的猜测,还有一个相关专利可以佐证。

这一专利正是苹果的另一武器,最近刚刚证实,能让 iPhone 和 iPad 变身遥控器。专利说明中明确写道:“……远程操作系统包含其中,可以推荐基于使用模式的场景,还可允许用户保存一个或多个喜爱的场景。”虽然这个领域的专利层出不穷,但在苹果新品发布会2周前突然证实这个专利,应该不是巧合吧?

我赶脚,有一个惊天秘密在其中。希望是 Wi-Fi 类技术,应用最好与 Xbox 智能眼镜应用类似,能极大拓展用户体验。我还希望有个IR接收器能连接我的其他设备,如环绕立体声音响。不过估计是我一厢情愿,苹果向来不愿和其他水果混在一起,唉……

但上述这些,在没有苹果精心捍卫的庞大用户群的基础上,都不可能实现。现在是时候在用户群上全面发力了吗?iPhone 5C 可以扩大用户基数,甚至,可以和 iWatch 电视绑定,作为销售套装。

—————

iDoNews 长期招聘有志于从事互联网科技媒体行业、并愿意不断提高自己的层次和档次的记者/编辑/运营,我们会花很长时间物色真正具有一流水平的小伙伴加入。有意者投简历至:xiaoo.sem@qq.com。


557条评论

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Maybe you could space it out better?|Howdy, i read your blog occasionally and i own a similar one and i was just wondering if you get a lot of spam remarks? If so how do you prevent it, any plugin or anything you can advise? I get so much lately it’s driving me crazy so any help is very much appreciated.|This design is incredible! You definitely know how to keep a reader amused. Between your wit and your videos, I was almost moved to start my own blog (well, almost…HaHa!) Excellent job. I really enjoyed what you had to say, and more than that, how you presented it. Too cool!|I’m truly enjoying the design and layout of your website. It’s a very easy on the eyes which makes it much more enjoyable for me to come here and visit more often. Did you hire out a developer to create your theme? Great work!|Hello! I could have sworn I’ve been to this site before but after reading through some of the post I realized it’s new to me. Anyhow, I’m definitely happy I found it and I’ll be bookmarking and checking back frequently!|Howdy! Would you mind if I share your blog with my facebook group? There’s a lot of people that I think would really appreciate your content. Please let me know. Cheers|Hey there, I think your website might be having browser compatibility issues. When I look at your blog site in Ie, it looks fine but when opening in Internet Explorer, it has some overlapping. I just wanted to give you a quick heads up! Other then that, excellent blog!|Wonderful blog! I found it while surfing around on Yahoo News. Do you have any tips on how to get listed in Yahoo News? I’ve been trying for a while but I never seem to get there! Appreciate it|Hey there! This is kind of off topic but I need some advice from an established blog. Is it very hard to set up your own blog? I’m not very techincal but I can figure things out pretty fast. I’m thinking about creating my own but I’m not sure where to begin. Do you have any points or suggestions? Appreciate it|Hello! Quick question that’s completely off topic. Do you know how to make your site mobile friendly? My blog looks weird when viewing from my apple iphone. I’m trying to find a template or plugin that might be able to correct this issue. If you have any recommendations, please share. Thank you!|I’m not that much of a internet reader to be honest but your blogs really nice, keep it up! I’ll go ahead and bookmark your website to come back later. Many thanks|I love your blog.. very nice colors & theme. Did you design this website yourself or did you hire someone to do it for you? Plz answer back as I’m looking to design my own blog and would like to find out where u got this from. thanks|Whoa! This blog looks just like my old one! It’s on a entirely different topic but it has pretty much the same page layout and design. Excellent choice of colors!|Heya just wanted to give you a brief heads up and let you know a few of the pictures aren’t loading properly. I’m not sure why but I think its a linking issue. I’ve tried it in two different web browsers and both show the same results.|Hello are using Wordpress for your site platform? I’m new to the blog world but I’m trying to get started and set up my own. Do you require any coding knowledge to make your own blog? Any help would be really appreciated!|Whats up this is kind of of off topic but I was wondering if blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML. I’m starting a blog soon but have no coding experience so I wanted to get advice from someone with experience. Any help would be greatly appreciated!|Hello! I just wanted to ask if you ever have any issues with hackers? My last blog (wordpress) was hacked and I ended up losing several weeks of hard work due to no back up. Do you have any solutions to stop hackers?|Hello! Do you use Twitter? I’d like to follow you if that would be ok. I’m definitely enjoying your blog and look forward to new posts.|Hi! Do you know if they make any plugins to safeguard against hackers? I’m kinda paranoid about losing everything I’ve worked hard on. Any recommendations?|Howdy! Do you know if they make any plugins to assist with Search Engine Optimization? I’m trying to get my blog to rank for some targeted keywords but I’m not seeing very good success. If you know of any please share. Kudos!|I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own weblog and was curious what all is required to get setup? I’m assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny? I’m not very internet smart so I’m not 100% certain. Any recommendations or advice would be greatly appreciated. Many thanks|Hmm is anyone else having problems with the images on this blog loading? I’m trying to find out if its a problem on my end or if it’s the blog. Any feed-back would be greatly appreciated.|I’m not sure why but this web site is loading incredibly slow for me. Is anyone else having this problem or is it a issue on my end? I’ll check back later and see if the problem still exists.|Howdy! I’m at work browsing your blog from my new iphone! Just wanted to say I love reading through your blog and look forward to all your posts! Carry on the great work!|Wow that was strange. I just wrote an really long comment but after I clicked submit my comment didn’t appear. Grrrr… well I’m not writing all that over again. Anyhow, just wanted to say excellent blog!|Howdy excellent website! Does running a blog like this take a lot of work? I have no understanding of programming but I had been hoping to start my own blog soon. Anyways, should you have any ideas or tips for new blog owners please share. I know this is off topic but I simply wanted to ask. Kudos!|Heya! I know this is sort of off-topic however I had to ask. Does running a well-established website like yours require a massive amount work? I am completely new to running a blog however I do write in my journal daily. I’d like to start a blog so I can easily share my personal experience and thoughts online. Please let me know if you have any kind of suggestions or tips for new aspiring blog owners. Appreciate it!|Hey I know this is off topic but I was wondering if you knew of any widgets I could add to my blog that automatically tweet my newest twitter updates. I’ve been looking for a plug-in like this for quite some time and was hoping maybe you would have some experience with something like this. Please let me know if you run into anything. I truly enjoy reading your blog and I look forward to your new updates.|I don’t know whether it’s just me or if everyone else encountering problems with your site. It seems like some of the text in your posts are running off the screen. Can someone else please comment and let me know if this is happening to them as well? This may be a issue with my internet browser because I’ve had this happen previously. Thank you|First off I would like to say superb blog! I had a quick question in which I’d like to ask if you don’t mind. I was curious to know how you center yourself and clear your head prior to writing. I’ve had a tough time clearing my thoughts in getting my ideas out there. I do take pleasure in writing but it just seems like the first 10 to 15 minutes are usually wasted simply just trying to figure out how to begin. Any recommendations or hints? Kudos!

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