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刚刚读完一篇文章,网友“独自等待”写的《创业者一手货:我是怎么在网上卖鱼的》。这篇文章之所以有趣,是因为作者是对照着前一阵优菜网CEO丁景涛《一个生鲜电商失败者的经验分享》一文,去总结自己的成功经验,多少有一些同行相轻的感觉。记得曾经当面问优菜网的丁总几个问题:农产品电商到底应该先做批发,还是先做零售?电商ERP有木有等等。之前从电商的批发模式中发现了一些成功案例,而做零售的电商通常活得很艰难,因此注意到优菜网还是在零售。“独自等待”是从批发开始入手,兼顾零售,可以说是在正确的方向上迈出了一步。然而,“独自等待”又是用传统的诞生于20世纪60年代美国的4P理论(产品(Product)、价格(Price)、渠道(Place)、促销(Promotion))为框架去分析电子商务,这也说明理论和实践是非常脱节的。新的实践需要新的理论指导,因此想写点什么回应一下“独自等待”。

一、优菜网的初衷是把蔬菜作为电商的引流产品。“独自等待”认为,“打开优菜网的网页,我仿佛走进了一个路边五花八门的杂货店,甚至忘记了我原本居然是来看“菜”的。”因为是内部研讨会,优菜网的丁总坦率地说,是想把蔬菜作为电商的引流产品,同时把优菜网作为一个类超市的平台不断增加品类。这一点解释了“独自等待”的疑问,为什么优菜网会选择低毛利的蔬菜作为主打产品。这一点之所以特别值得注意,一方面是因为线下有永辉超市这样将蔬菜作为引流产品的成功案例,另一方面在线超市的样本公司1号店目前在生鲜产品上仍鲜有作为,而顺丰优选则是从生鲜产品开始切入电商。“独自等待”提出的是一个中端水产品的垂直电商模式,但这绝不是生鲜电商的唯一模式。比如电果网就是从3万元起家,以零售为主,在一线城市北京做到了今天的规模。“独自等待”提出的是一个可以赢利,但是属于小规模难以复制的电商模式。从这一点上,反而要肯定优菜网把蔬菜作为电商引流产品的思路,因为这一点是大电商而不是小电商的气质。

二、优菜网遇到的真正问题是在供应链和品牌之间难以两全。电商做零售遇到的首要问题是,必需同时做供应链和品牌,因为现在的零售注定是品牌化零售,没有品牌则零售是不成立的,而品牌的培育注定需要时间。唯品会选择了在线品牌折扣店的业态,因为在品牌之路上走了一个捷径。而奢侈品电商则连货源都难以保障。电商的品牌之路注定是先成为服务品牌。这一观点笔者已经用《三双鞋》美捷步的案例强调了多次。电商能够正常运营,还需要建立一个高效的供应链。而国内物流成本占GDP约18%,是欧美的两倍。这是任何电商都必需面临的问题。因此,电商既要建高成本的供应链,又要花很大力气是建品牌,这对创业型的电商成为不能承受之重,却是一个普遍性问题。优菜网提出的解决方案是转型为平台型和开放型电商。这说明垂直型电商只有走向开放才有出路。不仅仅优菜网这样的中型电商如此,京东商城的毛利率只有5%左右,也把赢利的重心寄希望于开放平台。而“独自等待”的电商模式是一个批零兼营、以批发为主的封闭模式,当线下的批发市场一旦醒悟具有了电商基因,“独自等待”人为划定的细分市场将毫无“护城河”可言,因为批发市场具有更强大的规模效应和成本优势,批零兼营不是一种持久性的竞争优势。

三、电子商务的未来究竟是什么?这里不得不省略很多字。简单地说,电子商务需要把线下成功的商业模式和互联网的商业模式整合在一起,这才是所谓的O2O。O2O不是简单的线上聚客,线下交易;也不是简单的线下聚客,线上交易。苹果、沃尔玛、ZARA和谷歌分别代表了线下和线上公司最成功的商业模式。这需要电商去领悟,才能出泡沫化的电商乃至互联网模式中走出来。其中,垂直化电商代表的是一种新的业态,融品类杀手、数据服务、内容服务、媒体传播、金融支付等为一体。之前,笔者认为2013年电商将弥补品牌的短板,现在看来,垂直化电商形成新的业态的可能性更大。垂直化电商的逆袭将构成2013年电商的风景线。而生鲜电商确实是一个非常重要的领域,无论是作为引流产品还是战略性产品,都将撬动更大的市场。


689条评论

  1. Wonderful collection, thanks for sharing Eric :)

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  9. Thanks a lot for the article.Thanks a lot Again.

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  13. Sorry, I intended “Alana”.

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