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文/DoNews资深作者 罗小卫

今年的视频行业注定不会平静。

先是“老大”优酷合并“老二”土豆引发行业“地震”,然后又是搜狐视频、百度旗下的爱奇艺、腾讯视频出人意料地联手组建“视频内容合作组织”(Video Content Cooperation简称:VCC)。

如今腾讯视频又高调宣称身处“211”格局,即用户覆盖第二、成长第一、专业视频第一,并称超越优酷成为第一视频平台,面对腾讯视频的突然“上位”,优酷、搜狐视频同时提出质疑,视频行业众大佬新的纷争正在上演。

腾讯“上位”

“过去18个月,腾讯视频是成长最快的公司改变了行业格局,周覆盖用户超过了优酷、人均浏览时间超过了优酷。”10月23日,腾讯在线视频部总经理刘春宁对《华夏时报》在内的诸多媒体记者宣称。

当天下午,腾讯视频对众多媒体高调召开了“弯道超车”“改写行业格局”的新闻发布会。发布会上,腾讯视频称其目前所处为“211”格局,即用户覆盖第二、成长第一、专业视频第一。

同时腾讯视频引用诸多数据证明自己,这些数据主要以艾瑞iUserTracker数据为主。如艾瑞iUserTracker最新公布的数据显示,腾讯视频月度覆盖一直稳居第二,并以1.229亿和1.200亿周覆盖用户,连续两周超过优酷成为第一视频平台。

艾瑞数据显示,从2011年4月至今的17个月时间内,流量从8775.8万人增长3倍到26236.3万人,为所有视频网站成长速度第一。

另外腾讯视频称,据Millward Brown的专项调研报告显示,腾讯视频在专业视频(新闻资讯、体育、综艺娱乐、财经等)几大领域的渗透率最高,排名行业第一。

腾讯视频还引用的数据称,从2011年5月开始,腾讯视频人均单日浏览时间一直排名行业第一,平均70分钟左右。而在衡量视频网站价值的视频播放量(VV)这项关键指标上,来自Comscore Videometrix的数据显示,腾讯视频月度VV数,从2011年10月份开始一直排名第二,并不断逼近市场第一位置。

“重整上线之后的腾讯视频,采取‘弯道超车’的非常规策略,通过对奥运会等一系列大事件、大制作的精细化运营,全力塑造新闻资讯、体育赛事、综艺娱乐等各类专业化的精品内容,同时凸显原创战略和内容优势实现跨越式发展,打破了既有行业格局,位居行业第一趋势已经确立。”腾讯在线视频部总经理刘春宁。

在该次发布会上,艾瑞研究院院长、首席分析师曹军波出席并表示:“腾讯视频在公司资产合并数据中,一周覆盖人数和一周有效时长等多项指标上均排名行业前列。”他称,艾瑞资产综合服务排名是综合了网站以及客户端的反映全面视频竞争现状的数据监测榜单。

指标质疑

众所周知,腾讯视频的突然“上位”,直接挑战了优酷的视频老大地位。

今年3月12日,国内视频领域的“老大”优酷与老对手视频“二哥”土豆宣布以100%换股的方式合并,此事当时震惊国内视频产业,业内当时普遍认为这会导致视频领域新一轮洗牌的开始,而优酷当时表示,新成立的优酷土豆集团网络视频用户总覆盖近80%。业内当时普遍认为,优酷土豆在视频市场“江湖老大的地位更加稳固

对于腾位视频此次的高调亮相,优酷土豆的态度倍受关注。10月23日当晚,《华夏时报》记者采访优酷土豆相关人员时,该人士对记者表示,土豆网对腾讯视频提出两点质疑。

首先是在常规统计中,视频网站的流量统计仅包括web页面的,而客户端作为软件来统计。“腾讯视频在数据中多处将自己的Web(网页端)和客户端加起来计算,与其他网站的web流量做对比,从统计对象上来说范围不一致,从统计方法来说此举显失公平。”

对此,一位视频业内人士当晚接受《华夏时报》记者采访时进一步比喻称,腾讯视频此次公布的数据是“拿黄瓜和鸡蛋去比,腾讯拿出来的数据是黄瓜,包括网页端+客户端在内的综合数据;他去比较优酷的鸡蛋,仅含网页端的数据,通常即便是都算上的,也不会这样去比较。在线视频算一类,客户端算一类。”

“对于视频媒体来说,考核其影响力最重要的是看Web端,根据艾瑞的IUT数据显示,腾讯视频在WEB端的指标其实处于业内后几位的水平。”土豆网同样以艾瑞今年7月16日至10月7日的数据证明称,合并过来的“土豆网在多项指标上均领先腾讯数倍,如访问次数反映用户浏览媒体频次,土豆是腾讯视频的3倍多。页面浏览量反映用户内容消费量,土豆摇摇领先,最新数据是腾讯视频的2倍。”

“腾讯视频所宣称的‘人均单日浏览时间,在诸多视频网站之中一直排名第一,最高超过77分钟,平均约70分钟’,从艾瑞数据无法查到该数据。据第三方研究机构艾瑞介绍,人均单日浏览时长目前只统计了Web端的,客户端的相关数据是没有的,而在Web端的数据,腾讯一直都是未超越土豆.”

有意思的是,土豆官方质疑中还引同艾瑞集团COO阮京文的看法回应,“如今考核视频行业影响力,除了要看覆盖用户数外,用户访问次数、网页浏览量、用户访问时长等指标也是体现视频企业影响力的重要指标。在进行评估时应多指标参考,单一指标并不能反映视频网站真正影响力。”而这则恰好应对了腾讯邀请的艾瑞研究院院长、首席分析师曹军波。

视频暗战不止

腾讯此次“上位”,不仅掀起了与优酷的纷争,事实上也打破了与搜狐视频、爱奇艺此前的平静。

优酷合并土豆之后,业内普遍认为搜狐视频、爱奇艺、腾讯视频这三家会成为视频“老二”的激烈争夺者,这三家之间会出现激烈的竞争。不过当时出人意料的是,就在优酷与土豆合并后一个半月后,即4月24日,这三家却突然宣布共同组建“视频内容合作组织”(Video Content Cooperation简称:VCC),在版权和播出领域展开深度合作。当时此举被业内认为是对优酷土豆的阻击。

此次腾讯视频在这三家中脱颖而出,自称第二,搜狐视频、爱奇艺的看法也倍受业内关注。据悉在优酷合并土豆之后,搜狐掌门人张朝阳就在微博中表示,搜狐视频在这种变局下就成为视频第二了。

“排第几,是看行业公认的。就跟乐视一直认为自己是视频网站一样,但行业里的人都有疑问吧,他还是版权分销。”一位熟知搜狐视频情况的业内人士10月23日晚上接受《华夏时报》记者采访时称。

也许是碍于与腾讯视频合作的面子,搜狐视频没有直接评论腾讯视频的说法,不过其官方给本报记者提供的一份同样出自艾瑞的视频网站10月份最新排名显示,优酷以日均3140万人次的覆盖量持续领先、搜狐视频与土豆网则分别以日均2277万、2021万人次的覆盖量分列行业第二和第三的位置,而爱奇艺、迅雷看看与腾讯视频则分居行业的第四至第六位。

爱奇艺相关人员10月23日同天晚上接受《华夏时报》记者采访时平静表示,“对于不同的数据解读,我们还是不做太多评论了。接下来爱奇艺还是会继续踏踏实实做自己的产品体验。我们相信拥有好产品和优质用户体验的网站必定会赢得更好的市场回报和用户口碑。”

对于视频网站目前引用的各种让人眼花缭乱的数据,一位视频业内从业者10月23日接受采访时表示,“最近数据的各种解读太多了,大家都在热衷于把自己的感觉不错的数据拿出来晒一晒,所以现在出现了各种混搭数据和一些不靠谱的数据。”

“目前视频领域的衡量指标有很多、包括收入、月度覆盖用户、日均UV、月度浏览时长、月度浏览视频个数(VV)、月度PV等等,由于各家视频企业之间存在差异,因此在不同的衡量维度上也会有不同的排名。相较于目前视频行业盈利难的问题,目前市场最为关注的指标为收入,也是市场发展走向成熟后,衡量各企业运营能力与市场占有率的重要指标。”易观国际分析师张颿10月23日深夜接受本报记者采访时称。

易观国际公布的以综合收入份额为指标的截止2012年第一季度视频行业排名显示,优酷、土豆、搜狐视频分别以20.9%、11.5%、10.9%位列前三甲,爱奇艺以6.7%排第四,腾讯视频则以4.7%仅位列第九。

也许正是意识到收入上的不足,腾讯视频在10月23日的发布会上表示,腾讯视频和优酷合计覆盖用户数接近中国视频用户的80%,对于广告主而言投放的ROI明显优于优酷+土豆的投放组合(优酷土豆合计覆盖为73%),也明显高于其他任意两家视频网站的组合。

张颿对目前的视频行业进一步分析认为,“以视频行业目前的格局来看,主流视频网站已经开始差异化运营,比如优酷土豆更关注原创内容、爱奇艺倾向于长视频、搜狐在原有内容资源的基础上积极拓展美剧等,各家网站均希望通过内容之间的差异以突出自身平台的品牌特点,未来网络视频市场在内容差异之外还会增加更多的辅助信息,如资讯、线下活动等等,以进一步突显品牌优势。”

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