http://blog.donews.com/raptor/天下熙熙，皆为利来，天下攘攘，皆为利往zh-CHS.Text Version 1.0.1.0猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2007/05/07/1161971.aspxMon, 07 May 2007 14:26:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2007/05/07/1161971.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/1161971.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2007/05/07/1161971.aspx#Feedback0http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/1161971.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=1161971不更新这个BLOG已经很久了，都差点忘记还有这回事。才想起来要补发一记通告： 我的BLOG正式迁移到：http://www.hexieblog.com Feedsky重烧的RSS已经重定向到新的站点，如果你订的不是重烧的RSS，请更新为： 此ＲＳＳ： <img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/1161971.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/30/1050317.aspxSat, 30 Sep 2006 11:21:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/30/1050317.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/1050317.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/30/1050317.aspx#Feedback0http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/1050317.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=1050317自从“独立思考”这个种说法开始流行以后，这类事情发生过很多了。但问题在于：难道看过两本禁书，把以前的观念全部推翻，再把别人的结论全盘接受就叫做“独立思考”？<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/1050317.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/26/1047207.aspxTue, 26 Sep 2006 09:41:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/26/1047207.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/1047207.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/26/1047207.aspx#Feedback1http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/1047207.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=1047207反对忽悠，从我做起。以后要力争把问题说得简明。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/1047207.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/19/1041500.aspxTue, 19 Sep 2006 13:00:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/19/1041500.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/1041500.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/19/1041500.aspx#Feedback5http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/1041500.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=1041500反对恶搞就是反GM。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/1041500.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/07/1031103.aspxThu, 07 Sep 2006 09:26:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/07/1031103.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/1031103.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/07/1031103.aspx#Feedback0http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/1031103.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=1031103同样是媒体，但媒体和媒体是不一样的。正如同样是法律，但法律和法律也是不一样的。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/1031103.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/06/1030013.aspxWed, 06 Sep 2006 10:39:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/06/1030013.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/1030013.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/06/1030013.aspx#Feedback0http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/1030013.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=1030013富士康一案现在看来，唯一的作用就是证明了：<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/1030013.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/05/1028982.aspxTue, 05 Sep 2006 09:41:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/05/1028982.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/1028982.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/09/05/1028982.aspx#Feedback4http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/1028982.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=1028982对于这种事情的报道却往往只是弄一些表面的东西来唬弄观众，一旦观众的欲望被吊起来，开始涉及到关键的问题时，却又忽然不再深谈下去。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/1028982.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/08/11/995907.aspxFri, 11 Aug 2006 10:46:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/08/11/995907.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/995907.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/08/11/995907.aspx#Feedback0http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/995907.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=995907小国永远都是大国利益博弈的牺牲品。而小国的人民则成为了这种牺牲品的牺牲品。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/995907.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/29/981190.aspxSat, 29 Jul 2006 16:07:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/29/981190.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/981190.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/29/981190.aspx#Feedback1http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/981190.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=981190要改变这一切，首先要抛弃过去在学校里所学的那些非市场化的心态，只有当中国金融业全面市场化后，由市场来决定利率，放开商业银行的竞争，这样我们才有可能争取到更高的存款利率和更低的贷款利率。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/981190.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/28/980047.aspxFri, 28 Jul 2006 18:02:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/28/980047.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/980047.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/28/980047.aspx#Feedback0http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/980047.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=980047<p>（2006－07－18）<br /></p> <p>这几天在FT中文网上，关于中产阶级的话题讨论得不亦乐乎：</p> <p>《<a href="http://www.ftchinese.com/sc/story.jsp?id=001005477&amp;pos=DAILY_NEWS&amp;pa1=0&amp;pa2=11&amp;loc=DAILY%20EMAIL">&ldquo;我怎么能算中产？&rdquo;</a>》<br />《<a href="http://www.ftchinese.com/sc/story.jsp?id=001005467&amp;pos=DAILY_NEWS&amp;pa1=0&amp;pa2=18&amp;loc=DAILY%20EMAIL">中国&ldquo;中产阶级&rdquo;是伪命题</a>》<br />《<a href="http://www.ftchinese.com/sc/story.jsp?id=001005503&amp;pos=DAILY_NEWS&amp;pa1=0&amp;pa2=15&amp;loc=DAILY%20EMAIL">中国有中产但无阶层</a>》</p> <p>一些读者来信纠缠于&ldquo;中产阶级&rdquo;、&ldquo;中层阶级&rdquo;或是&ldquo;白领&rdquo;什么的概念不放，我觉得这没什么意义，其实大家都知道，这里讨论的就是所谓的&ldquo;middle class&rdquo;。</p> <p>那么中国到底有没有&ldquo;middle class&rdquo;？说有也有，说没有也没有。</p> <p>如果简单地以收入为标准来衡量，不论这个标准是怎么样的，总能划出一部分人算是&ldquo;middle class&rdquo;。不过这些被算作&ldquo;middle class&rdquo;的人自己却未必会这么认为。<br /></p> <p>特别是看了这篇《<a href="http://www.mindmeters.com/showlog.asp?log_id=2874">抓住中国中产阶层的商机</a>》，我实在不明白麦肯锡怎么会这么乐观，他们凭什么认为在未来五年里，lower middle class的增长幅度能够远远超过过去二十年的积累增长？我始终觉得中国目前的不可持续增长模式正在经历瓶颈期。</p> <p>这种脱离实际的理论分析实在是太不靠谱了。</p> <p>不 可否认，从宏观上看，中国人最近几年的城镇居民人均可支配收入有了较大幅度的增长，但我们同样要看到，也是在这几年里，城镇居民的人均必要支出也有了较大 幅度的增长：除了医疗、教育、住房这三坐大山以外，老龄化也是不可回避的一个问题&mdash;&mdash;特别是对新城市人来说，他们的父辈都还在没有社会保障的农村。</p> <p>而 最最关键的一点还在于：这些所谓的&ldquo;middle class&rdquo;对未来的缺乏信心，对可能发生的不确定因素的担心，使得他们不可能像发达国的中产阶级那样，真正成为社会的中坚力量，成为社会的稳定因素，成 为经济发展的动力来源。而且一旦社会经济状况恶化，他们反而会成为社会最大的不稳定因素。</p> <p>这是中国的middle class与发达国家中产阶级的不同所在，也是中国与发达国家的不同所在。</p><img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/980047.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/27/978746.aspxThu, 27 Jul 2006 16:02:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/27/978746.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/978746.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/27/978746.aspx#Feedback10http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/978746.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=978746这不是银行黑，只是对年利率的概念存在误解。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/978746.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/21/971285.aspxFri, 21 Jul 2006 09:47:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/21/971285.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/971285.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/21/971285.aspx#Feedback0http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/971285.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=971285起初我还以为这个东东看上去很美，但不幸的事，现在看来，它也仅仅只是看上去很美。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/971285.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/20/969892.aspxThu, 20 Jul 2006 09:49:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/20/969892.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/969892.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/20/969892.aspx#Feedback2http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/969892.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=969892所以说，如果政府不能为人民提供一个对信任有利的环境，那么在这样的社会里，就只有流氓更能生存。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/969892.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/19/968631.aspxWed, 19 Jul 2006 11:32:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/19/968631.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/968631.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/19/968631.aspx#Feedback1http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/968631.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=968631当法律只是一部分人的武器的时候＿所谓的“在法律面前有些人更加平等”，人民必须自己保卫自己。<img src ="http://blog.donews.com/raptor/aggbug/968631.aspx" width = "1" height = "1" />猛禽http://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/18/967882.aspxTue, 18 Jul 2006 17:21:00 GMThttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/18/967882.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/967882.aspxhttp://blog.donews.com/raptor/archive/2006/07/18/967882.aspx#Feedback0http://blog.donews.com/raptor/comments/commentRss/967882.aspxhttp://tb.donews.net/TrackBack.aspx?PostId=967882反过来，在中国法律未规定不可以的事情，却往往是禁止的。<img src 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