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文/DoNews新锐作者 新夸克

时下再谈团购可能不合时宜,但有话不妨说出来,和网友们分享,也了解一下大家的看法。自己经常使用美团,拉手网,大众点评,偶尔也试试聚划算等。目前不管从行业数据来看,还是周边人群的使用情况来看,美团和大众点评团基本上是做服务业团购的领导者,聚划算成为了消费品团购的领导者。尤其是美团,由于其良好的业务定位和销售增长势头,使得其在团购业饱受赞誉。似乎,让大家感觉得到,美团目前的业务模式才是团购的正道。从长远看,笔者不以为然。

这里,笔者粗浅地抛个观点:作为一个用户,一个普通的用户,笔者觉得美团包括其他团购商在很大程度上在走入歧途,这个歧途不是说死路,而是平庸的发展之路,别看大家蜂拥而上,都开始发力APP。

其实当前大多数的团购网站,有三个问题,没有得到很好的解决。

一、 产品的品质和服务质量以及商家的信誉度无法有效体现,消费者没有可靠的参考依据。

电子商务,尤其是在电商平台下的店面运营,其中最核心的要素之一就是评论和评价。这事关产品或者服务的信誉和品质保证。其实,用户选择团购服务的时候,心里是没底的。用了之后发现不好,不仅仅会对商家产生抵触,更多的是对比如美团这些服务平台的抱怨。很可惜,即便行业领导者美团网也没有在这方面花多大精力。美团有评分机制,可是评分机制不够完善,有评论但是大多数不评。大众点评网起家于点评,却也没有认识到这个模块的巨大的价值,根本没有投入精力去发展评论和信誉体系,评价可信度不高,幕后操控性很强。

另一方面,由于团购的阶段性和临时性,团购是一单一单地做,可能做了此单后面就没了,像传统的方式积累评价也比较困难。

二、与打折类网站和促销信息网的同质化冲突。

更确切地说大部分团购平台走向了打折承包商和促销信息收集商之路,越来越远离了电子商务和拼团购物的本质。这虽然是生存与理想的问题,但也与行业领导者的发展思路密切相关。

美团创始人王兴比较信仰服务业边际成本理论,把美团的业务聚焦于服务业,并且走边际成本的路线,这当然明智。但是,这也是一把双刃剑,边际成本的前提是供大于求,本质上是服务能力的剩余或者销售不及预期。什么叫边际成本路线呢?简单地说,就是帮助商家抛滞销库存或闲置位置,把卖不掉的位置或者产品,以低价抛售出去。

你比如,一个经营比较好的餐厅,有50张桌位,但是近一段时间以来,只卖出30个,还剩20个。餐厅一天的平均开支2000元,这30个桌位共计收入3000元。这天净赚1000元。那20个座位,空余着也是开支,卖出去就是净赚,收支方面来说,成本为零。可以以很低的价格销售出去。这就叫边际成本为零。

你再比如,消费品,鞋子一个月做了2000个,买了1000个,正好成本收回,剩下1000个如果销售不达预期,就可以以很低的价格销售出去。这也叫边际成本为零。

所以,导致它的商业模式的本质是打折和促销,只是披着团购的外衣而已。

这就是为什么现在很多用户觉得,用团购还不如上打折网站,或者促销信息的展示网站。实际上,美团在消费者心中的定位已经就是一家打折网,大众点评就是一家促销信息展示网。

另一方面,由于是低价抛售滞销库存和闲置位置,里面参杂着品质隐患。为服务质量的管理带来越来越大的风险。眼下,你发现,无论是服务行业的美团,拉手,大众点评其业务模式大部分都是走的这条路线。

三、 如何解决发现与分享的平衡,解决需求的问题。

团购真正的服务对象是商家,帮助商家把多余的位置或者库存产品低价促销出去了。使得商家的库存或者闲置位置有了持续的处理的渠道,消费者也得到了一定的实惠。

可是这都是用户想要的么,团购的大部分宝贝都是用户想要的么?并不一定,大众之所以买账,是因为低价促销的本质。可是大众内心的需求,未必得到很好的解决。你只给了,你想给的。我想要的,谁来帮我解决?诸如美丽说,蘑菇街等社区分享类网站的发展也正是印证了这个需求的广泛存在。

那么,这些问题,有没有改善的空间,笔者认为,大有改善空间和必要。下面,笔者根据对团购网站发展的思考,提供一些改善的建议,仅供参考:

一)、 完善评论、评分和信誉体系。

评论对于电子商务的重要,再怎么强调都不为过。用户不相信商家的自卖自夸,用户只相信你的口碑。所以,评论和信誉体系尤为重要。目前,大众点评网评论功能做的相对较好,但是还不完善。和原始的评论区别不大,容易刷评,也容易操控。久而久之,用户就会失去信任。美团和其他团购平台,实际上也都没有花精力和资源去做,实际运营过程中,积累评价很困难。

完善评价和信誉体系,首先要解决评论和评价的积累问题。

既然商家是团购商引进和审核的,那么就可以针对商家的每一单的评价和评分进行累计。比如,它一个月做三个团购单,那么每个单积累下来的评论和评分,采用一个公式或指标,进行整合,最终给出评分结果,这个评分结果是绑定商家的,并且不断地积累。

其次,要解决幕后操纵问题。这需要一个系统的支持。比如可限定只有购买者才有资格进行评论。另外,部分也可参考淘宝网。

二)、 开发团购预订模块,实现从依赖边际化效应向规模化效应的转变。

利用边际化效应尽管是降低价格和成本的途径之一,可别忘了,还有一个规模化效应可以利用。

无论是服务业还是制造业,都会涉及的材料采购,你总要采购一些原材料或者用品。做制造业的人都熟悉和践行一个重要的理论,就是规模效应。所谓规模效应是指在生产规模越大的地方生产效率越高产品成本越低。

有人说,团购虽然解决了规模化的问题,规模化效应不是那么容易实现的,这里面最难的仓储物流,以及产销衔接,这方面门槛很高。

不过,由于团购本身就具有规模化的能力,如果结合互联网预订的模式,更容易轻松实现规模化效应,打通和颠覆整个价值链。

笔者之前有一篇文章分析过,小米手机的预订模式和电子商务颠覆了价值链。减少了中间商,实现了产销一体化和规模化,降低了用户的采购成本。那么,团购为什么不能做N个小米手机呢?提供这种团购+预订的平台,相当于每一个产品都是一个小米手机,都采用预订/定制—制造-发货的模式。这样就有效地解决了消费品团购的仓储和物流以及产销衔接问题。

商家推出某项服务或产品,不是现售而是先收集订单,根据订单进行制造或采购。

这样的好处是,由需求推动生产资料或者服务资源匹配,而不是反过来。这样

在商品议价和商家管理上更具有灵活性,更能利用规模化效应降低系统成本。

用户可以根据自己的团购量来灵活议价,团购平台不需要提前买断商家的打折资源,甚至还需要商家提供保证金,而对商家来说,由于是预订实现了产销一体化,原材料采购成本和管理成本,仓储成本大为降低。

通过互联网实现个性化消费需求和订单的众筹,进而转化为规模化的制造和独立的配送。是团购颠覆价值链的真正的使命所在,也是团购另一条光明大道。这方面,聚划算也许更有潜力。

三)、增强分享功能,从为供应商服务转变为消费者服务,切入C2B模式。

团购网站,不仅仅能让商家提供促销和打折信息,更重要的是能让消费者分享自己的需求。所以,要提供一个分享的渠道。消费者分享了自己的需求,召集同样的爱好者

一起来参团,然后再匹配商家进行供应或者定制。这个模式,甚至可以成为一个独立的产业模式。但,在目前情况下,团购兼容这种模式,发展的会更好,更能晚上团购的生态系统。

这方面,国外比较类似的网站有thefancy.com 。这家成立不久的社交购物网站thefancy.com的兴起,足以说明了这个需求的迫切存在。它的发展令人刮目,现在用户注册数量已经超过百万,并且每天以1万的速度在增长。苹果也希望能收购这家快速发展的公司。

Thefancy.com 的商业模式就是,借助有品位的人,通常是明星或者知名人士,在网站上

分享自己认为很酷的东西,然后网友一起表态喜欢,如果商家或品牌看到围绕着某个地点或者商品形成了需求,而他们想出售商品,然后自动上门来匹配。网站通过收取佣金实现盈利。

另外,国内的蘑菇街也有部分这种业务功能,即发现商品,召集团购。

这已经是类C2B商业模式了,值得电商尤其是团购行业的重视。如果说C2B是电子商务的未来,而这也是C2B很好的一个切入口。

最后,感慨一下。团购行业经历了一拥而上,到横尸遍野,行业集中度不断提高,再到现在的初步形成三四家行业领导者的局面,似乎行业已经成熟,但唱衰者也大有人在。其实,团购商还是处在在摸着石头过河的过程中,只是大家摸到了小洲之上,看似活的很好,其实离对岸还很遥远。盼望团购业在活下来的同时,不要逐渐远离了团购的本质,停留在打折和促销的小岛上。

因为,大戏才刚刚开始。

======带个自私自利的小AD=========

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